Coronavirus update - NO MORE RESTRICTIONS

[The Lone Gunman]

I just saw on the BBC that in Wales and Mr Gethin said that 42,000 people had been tested and 11,000 tests proved positive. This means something like a quarter of the population appears to have the virus.....

Don't be daft.

[xsnaggle]

Don't be daft.

lol but I just wonder if they can use that figure to project the probable infection across the board. 25% of those tested have it and as I said they are in what are rated as high risk, but can the clinicians/advisors use that figure to look at the whole population?
If (as they now appear to think) someone whop has had it cannot get it again, at least in the short term there will gradually be less and less of the population at risk. I was just wondering if the can work out the probably time line to a point where they consider it under complete control

[The Lone Gunman]

lol but I just wonder if they can use that figure to project the probable infection across the board. 25% of those tested have it and as I said they are in what are rated as high risk, but can the clinicians/advisors use that figure to look at the whole population?

I'm pretty sure the 42,000 in Wales who have been tested will have been health workers, care workers, the emergency services, people in hospital, people in care homes, etc. And I suspect a significant percentage of those people will have had to be displaying symptoms in order to get tested in the first place.

Random members of the public with no symptoms haven't been tested. Therefore, the figures you quoted are highly unlikely to be in any way accurate as regards the general population.

[xsnaggle]

I'm pretty sure the 42,000 in Wales who have been tested will have been health workers, care workers, the emergency services, people in hospital, people in care homes, etc. And I suspect a significant percentage of those people will have had to be displaying symptoms in order to get tested in the first place.

Random members of the public with no symptoms haven't been tested. Therefore, the figures you quoted are highly unlikely to be in any way accurate as regards the general population.

Yes I acknowledged they would be in high risk occupations, it is just that it still seems high.

[tell it like it is]

Yes I acknowledged they would be in high risk occupations, it is just that it still sems high.

Yet there are higher risk occupations than NHS.

[xsnaggle]

Yet there are higher risk occupations than NHS.

What I read was not that, but that there were higher rates of infection in other occupations. The reason given was that although NHS workers are in high risk environments that have a higher level of protection generally than people in other risk occupations.
the arcticle I read actually suggested that the infection rate amongst NHS workers is about the same percentage as in the general population.

[Croesy Blue]

Yet there are higher risk occupations than NHS.

I don't think there are many occupations that have higher risk of infection tbh.

[xsnaggle]

I don't think there are many occupations that have higher risk of infection tbh.

In the article I read it said care home workers had a higher infection rate but NHS had the higher risk factor, only mitigated by the protection available to them which is or may not be available to non clinical care workers.

[tell it like it is]

I'm pretty sure the 42,000 in Wales who have been tested will have been health workers, care workers, the emergency services, people in hospital, people in care homes, etc. And I suspect a significant percentage of those people will have had to be displaying symptoms in order to get tested in the first place.

Random members of the public with no symptoms haven't been tested. Therefore, the figures you quoted are highly unlikely to be in any way accurate as regards the general population.

Unless they are Piers Morgan, an "essential worker" who got a test with no symptoms and a result the next day. Or Idris Elba, another "essential worker".

[The Lone Gunman]

Unless they are Piers Morgan, an "essential worker" who got a test with no symptoms and a result the next day. Or Idris Elba, another "essential worker".

Those well-known Welsh residents Piers Morgan and Idris Elba?