Quote Originally Posted by Rjk View Post
If the polls drop significantly then he's gone

If he's undeniably lied in parliament then he's probably gone as well.

At the moment he's in ride it out over christmas and start afresh in the new year mode. That could easily work
I think the pressure will really be ratcheted up on Johnson if the Tories lose the by election in what should be a rock steady, true blue seat. The fact of the matter is that the Conservatives would almost certainly have won a by election easily if Paterson had just stood down citing the emotional toll his wife’s suicide had taken on him and not had Johnson try to dodge the rules and help out a mate who he then dropped as soon as things got awkward for him - If their party loses next week, Conservative MPs are, correctly, going to see it as an entirely avoidable defeat for which the PM is directly responsible.