Quote Originally Posted by logic View Post
3 point lead over Reading, with a game in hand, still have to play Huddersfield who are currently a buffer to the relegation spots is a decent enough spot to be in.

Reading - play Wigan, Huddersfield. Can end up with 43, 44, 45, 46, 47 or 49 points. You'd expect a win against Wigan, both sides have something to play for in the final game. The goal difference, unless we implode, helps us so realistically, Reading need to win both games.

Huddersfield - play us then Reading. 44, 45, 46, 47, 48 or 50 points.Worse goal difference than us, we get a draw then the most then can end up on is 48. We win, then 47 is the most they can get meaning we'd need 1 point fom 2 games without conceding heavily.

Us - Rotherham, Huddersfield, Burnley. If we could get 2 points, then you're looking at Reading having to win both their games and have a goal difference swing.

It's entirely in our hands, Reading having to play Huddersfield helps us as a draw isn't great for either of them, a win for one means the other will struggle to get above us.

Huddersfield will feel they've the best run in, but again, it's in our hands. Get something out of the Rotherham game and we're basically safe imo.
Re our 2 points. How so?
We draw with rotherham and burnley takes us to 48.

Reading win both games takes them to 49.

Hudderfield beat us and shef u (or maybe draw with shef u) takes them to 50 (or 48)

That equals we go down even if we dont lose either away game (assuming qpr and rotherham pick up 2 points or so)