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I think I can. There were 7 games left after that Chelsea defeat. Had we won it we were still in the bottom 3. We still needed to chase games.
Our next fixture was Man City away, which we lost 2-0. Any momentum was gone there anyway.
After that we had the opportunity to beat Burnley, Fulham and Palace to stay up. We lost to them all. That wasn't because of one poor decision in the Chelsea match.
What I don’t get about arguments like this is that they imply that the team and supporters just carried on as if nothing had happened when that Chelsea goal was given and the penalty missed on Saturday. In both cases, the team were down the bottom of the table and yet you’re arguing that their attitude would be “oh well, never mind, let’s carry on as if nothing has happened” - I’ll never stop believing that the Chelsea goal had a huge negative impact on our survival chances in 18/19 and while Saturday’s penalty miss is not as big as that and Ivenever argued that it will be the sole reason for our relegation if we go down, it will be a moment when the doubts were increased. If our fate boils down to whether we score a penalty up at Burnley or not, the cumulative effect of our dismal record from the spot this season would put even more pressure on the taker.
Of course every decision or miss can have huge ramifications. However the bigger point is you can't just look at one incident. Eg the Brighton game in the Premier league where sol scored that 93rd minute winner despite being offside. Had that been correctly disallowed we may have been even further adrift by the time we got to the Chelsea game?
It becomes harder to recover from such howlers if they happen towards the end of the season as opposed to three months into it though. I'd argue as well that in the days before VAR, goals like Bamba's always tended to be allowed, but the Chelsea decision was so wrong that it should never have been allowed - there is a human factor which explains why someone would have missed the Brighton offside even though it was the only thing the linesman should have been looking for at the time, there's no excuse for the Chelsea offside being missed though.
Of course it's impossible to argue that we were relegated in 18/19 solely because of the Chelsea offside decision, but it's the effect an injustice like that has on a club that knows it's fighting an uphill battle to stay in the division that is important - think what impact a win, or even a creditable draw, against Chelsea (albeit not a great Chelsea team) would have had on the whole club.
And how many other situations have there been, missed penalties, missed shots that could've changed the results of games over the course of the season? Its easy to say that X change the entire season outcome but the reality is over the course of a season, you'e either good enough or not good enough. How many times have we got undeserved points due to opposition failings?
If sabri would have missed the penalty at Sheffield United I bet some people would have said had he scored that we could have kicked on and got another to win etc...... well he did score, we went 1 up and still managed to lose 4 1.
Had the Stoke defenders dealt with a simple punt up field by allsop and Saturday we wouldn't have equalised etc.... could go on and on.
I feel ,like I'm banging my head against a brick wall here, where have I said that relegation would be solely down to Saturday's penalty miss? What I did say in the match thread is that four missed penalties that could have earned us an extra four points would be the reason why we went down if we do end up doing so. That was said minutes after the end of yet another substandard home performance where the team only seemed to grasp what was at stake in the last quarter of an hour or so - it was said out of disappointment and anger, but it is true to say that we would be safe now with those extra four points.
I, and plenty of other City fans, were saying from day one that we looked short of fire power and that opinion has proved to be correct - the missed penalties are symptomatic of what will be the single biggest on field reason for our relegation if we do finish in the bottom three.
Score that penalty on Saturday and were on 48 points. Leaving Blackpool and Wigan unable to catch us and Reading to have to win both remaining games to overtake us even if we lose our next three. It was a huge moment.
If the penalty had been converted the chances are it would have been a very different game from that point onwards. City may well have gone on win, but there’s no guarantee of that. For instance, after the equaliser against Swansea, you would have assumed we’d have had the momentum, but the opposite was true.
This is not a good City team. Not by any stretch of the imagination, Making any assumptions about what would or could have happened during the last half hour of a game such as Saturday’s is folly in my opinion.
Two-one down, you think Stoke are going to sit back and think "nah, take the loss" or would they attack more to try to equalise? They may do. They may also leave more space for us to get a third.
Any discrete incident affects the game. Scoring the penalty may have got us the win, no guarantees.
Yes from ne
We were 2 points ahead of Burnley after 3 games. This sort of comparison moot.
I think the trajectory was probably going in the wrong direction under the previous two managers and the concern was that we could carry on dropping until there was no way of coming back.
The positive spin is that Lamouchi has stabilised things. We are no higher, true. But we aren't any worse off either than when he came in.
Other things to bear in mind. It isn't his team and the player he has brought in ( I don't know if Kaba was his choice but ...) has done well.
The injury to Robinson hasn't helped.
Also, everyone was crying out for us to score more goals which we have done but has obviously made us more vulnerable at the back.
Lastly, I think his demeanour has not been one of "I'm gonna revolutionise things" .....it's been one of "this team is struggling and if we can stay up , which is by no means a guarantee, we will have been successful " ........which I think is reflected in the way he is setting them up. He is trying different things to get a song out of a squad that were already playing dire football and he is getting a decent response every one in three games.
I doubt there are many other managers who would have got much more out of this squad. As such, I feel that saying "no" is not really a rational option. I think it should be "unconvinced" or "yes".
Either way, until he gets his squad in place it's very difficult to judge him fairly.
Given he can assemble a squad to his liking, I'd definitely give him a season. He seems like he has his head screwed on and has a bit of experience at the right end of this league.
I would say yes, for two reasons, I don't think we could get any better after Warnock the appointments prior have been rubbish until Sabri.
Also, you can't make a silk purse out of a sow's ear, he inherited a bag full of pig skin with just a tiny few bits of silk, give him a transfer window and a few more bits of silk and he could at least make something better looking than the pig's ear he inherited.