Quote Originally Posted by The Lone Gunman View Post
Oh, right! That's what you meant when you said: "We have played away against 3/4 of the favourites to win the league..."

It's all clear now. You weren't trying to suggest City's opposition in the away games thus far must have been really tough as they were high on the bookies' pre-season lists. I imagined that.
Yeah we have, it doesn't mean they will win the league though? The market sets a price, people either back or lay at that price, it moves and over time expectations are tested. Based on those odds, they are likely to have been difficult games. Its hardly ground breaking anyway, two of them were relegated from the Premier League last year and we know how massive that gap is now.

This isn't difficult to understand, I would have thought you would be able to get it. I can guarantee you that you will not find a better predictor than betfair odds for a market with this level of liquidity (partly because people who have access to other sources, models etc, want to make as much money as possible and therefore everything is already built into the price).

I will leave you now to celebrate another city loss..