Quote Originally Posted by Eric Cartman View Post
I don't think I can explain why it's a bad idea any more clearly.

I think it's actually the other way around, you are looking for data to support something because you wish it to be true. This is always a bad idea.

The most informed estimate of where each party is at currently is either the most recent MRP or the poll of polls. Neither make for pretty reading for the Conservatives.

Always worth remembering also that this election is likely to be a bit different to previous in that the Tories image is so worn and toxic that nobody other than reform/DUP(?) will work with them. Labour doesn't need a majority to govern, they likely don't even need to be the largest party to form a coalition.
If you remember any of the echo chamber political discussions from the last election - Corbyn was acting as if he had already won. Some left wing socialists on facebook I know were talking to each other as if the win was evitable - turns out they were just speaking to people that they knew had the same political opinion - so never gauged the public mood.

Nearly everyone I know never wants to talk politics and certainly keep their opinion to themselves - myself included. The shouty ones - usually on the left seem to be the ones who can never understand that people may have a different opinion.

The UK general election is usually won from the middle ground by a few marginal seats. I can never recall a far left wing or right wing Govt ever being elected.