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Thread: Runcorn by election.

  1. #26

    Re: Runcorn by election.

    Quote Originally Posted by jon1959 View Post
    ‘A win is a win’, but ‘A votes and vote share collapse is still a collapse’

    If Labour are ‘relatively content’ they are in an even bigger hole of their own making than it looked like yesterday.

    Starmerism is cowardly, toxic to Labour’s natural base let alone the wider electorate, and delusional.

    The only thing this right wing cabal can hang on to is that the Tories are in an even worse state. But as the former Member for the Eighteenth Century, Jacob Rees-Mogg helpfully explained, there is almost no policy difference between that Tories and Reform - it is mostly about personalities (and a bit more explicit racism)!
    The Labour Party is bust now

    Best to cobble together a sort of popular front rainbow alliance type movement and try and muddle through

    He's absolutely useless and so are most of his team

    I don't think any of them have got a clue and look so amateurish especially Lammy , Rayner and Streeting

    With such a big majority and lots of new MPs backing him up its unlikely Starmer will walk the plank but it would be great if he did

  2. #27

    Re: Runcorn by election.

    Quote Originally Posted by Elwood Blues View Post
    If I was going to vote for them I certainly would!

    But then again how many Tory, Labour etc voters have actually read the policy documents from those parties!(
    My point is that whether Reform say this or not, they are seen by the people that vote for them as the party who will take a hard line against immigration. And that's all that matters to their voters it would seem.

  3. #28

    Re: Runcorn by election.

    Quote Originally Posted by jon1959 View Post
    A win is a win, but A votes and vote share collapse is still a collapse

    If Labour are relatively content they are in an even bigger hole of their own making than it looked like yesterday.

    Starmerism is cowardly, toxic to Labours natural base let alone the wider electorate, and delusional.

    The only thing this right wing cabal can hang on to is that the Tories are in an even worse state. But as the former Member for the Eighteenth Century, Jacob Rees-Mogg helpfully explained, there is almost no policy difference between that Tories and Reform - it is mostly about personalities (and a bit more explicit racism)!
    Yeah tbf that was this morning, since then Labours results in the local elections have got progressively worse. Worse than I thought actually. I do think they will have acted out a scenario where they lost all the mayoral seats though

  4. #29

    Re: Runcorn by election.

    Quote Originally Posted by SLUDGE FACTORY View Post
    The average reform voter doesn't care about the fine details

    But they will if they realise that the fragile state of the NHS will be dead as a dodo under farage
    The average reform voter is the average Labour voter from about 15 years ago. I don't think any party has supporters more or less engaged in the minutiae of local government. In my experience previously few really understand the process, unfortunately

  5. #30

    Re: Runcorn by election.

    Quote Originally Posted by JamesWales View Post
    The average reform voter is the average Labour voter from about 15 years ago. I don't think any party has supporters more or less engaged in the minutiae of local government. In my experience previously few really understand the process, unfortunately
    that isn't really true - reform have taken more voters from the tories than they have Labour

  6. #31

    Re: Runcorn by election.

    Quote Originally Posted by Rjk View Post
    that isn't really true - reform have taken more voters from the tories than they have Labour
    But how many of those Tories were Labour until 2019 and would with a popular government have returned to them?

  7. #32

    Re: Runcorn by election.

    Quote Originally Posted by Rjk View Post
    that isn't really true - reform have taken more voters from the tories than they have Labour
    Yeah I know, although in many parts of the country it's the other way around. The rural south has shifted more Tory to Lib Dem too.

    Either way, stereotypes don't really fit.

  8. #33
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    Re: Runcorn by election.

    Quote Originally Posted by the other bob wilson View Post
    He wants an argument doesnt he. Id also be fascinated to know what Reforms policies are, much like the Brexit Partys probably, but then what did they stand for? We know Farage doesnt like immigrants and the EU and loves money in his pocket and Donald Trump but thats about it really.
    Shirley you must see, and using this current lot more than any other mob, having a manifesto means jack shit. ? I know those who went before didn't bother with implementation of their manifestos either !!!.

  9. #34

    Re: Runcorn by election.

    I know and work with a load of tradesman, all well paid, mostly Labour voters but the odd Tory (the electricians usually) and every single one I’ve spoken too in the last 3 months said they plan to vote for reform. People have had an absolute guts full of the usual two, the alternative might not be better but who knows….make Britain great again eh?

  10. #35

    Re: Runcorn by election.

    We shouldn't be surprised about the rise of a right wing party here, as they seem to have been on the increase across many countries.

    I suppose looking from the outside it's tempting to think that these are the same shysters who told us that Brexit would be a brilliant idea, whereas it has mostly been a shitshow while a lot of these people have managed to line their own pockets from it - why would anyone fall for the same shite twice?

    but the underlying issues that led to brexit are still there. its harder for regular people to make a decent living while the rich get richer - and they don't think that the status quo of labour or tory will ever change this, so its a protest vote.

    I think a reform government would be an absolute disaster for the working man though - low tax and cut backs to public services. Austerity +

  11. #36

    Re: Runcorn by election.

    Hull and East Yorkshire Mayor..

    Reform: 48,491
    LibDems: 37,510
    Tories: 21,393
    Labour: 18,568
    Green: 5,049
    Yorkshire Party: 4,372

    Things have definitely changed. Not just today, it's been changing for years but accelerated today. It used to be people would turn to the Lib Dems as protest but there are now other viable options that don't count as wasted votes.

  12. #37

    Re: Runcorn by election.

    Quote Originally Posted by JamesWales View Post
    The average reform voter is the average Labour voter from about 15 years ago. I don't think any party has supporters more or less engaged in the minutiae of local government. In my experience previously few really understand the process, unfortunately
    The labour party have seen plenty of former voters sway to reform

    But it is undoubtedly the conservatives who have suffered most from the rise of reform

    Absolutely no question of that and backed up by Prof Jon Curtice

    The question is rather academic now as its how the centre and left deal with the prevailing situation.....a right wing vote beyond the Tories....of probably 20 percent

    I personally think that's the problem ....these people think that reform speaks for them and they now have a party to vote for

    They won't be coming back to the main parties and even farage being caught dressed as Adolf Hitler won't bother them

    So merge the centre and left and defeat the right wing at the ballot box by sheer numbers or the country will end up like America

    The people I am aware of that vote reform are wannabee trump creeps anyway so it's par for the course

    Reform are not going to be defeated by reasoned argument and that's where Starmer , The Liberals , Traditional Tories etc are absolutely wasting their time

  13. #38

    Re: Runcorn by election.

    Quote Originally Posted by SLUDGE FACTORY View Post
    The labour party have seen plenty of former voters sway to reform

    But it is undoubtedly the conservatives who have suffered most from the rise of reform

    Absolutely no question of that and backed up by Prof Jon Curtice

    The question is rather academic now as its how the centre and left deal with the prevailing situation.....a right wing vote beyond the Tories....of probably 20 percent

    I personally think that's the problem ....these people think that reform speaks for them and they now have a party to vote for

    They won't be coming back to the main parties and even farage being caught dressed as Adolf Hitler won't bother them

    So merge the centre and left and defeat the right wing at the ballot box by sheer numbers or the country will end up like America

    The people I am aware of that vote reform are wannabee trump creeps anyway so it's par for the course

    Reform are not going to be defeated by reasoned argument and that's where Starmer , The Liberals , Traditional Tories etc are absolutely wasting their time
    You got so close to posting that without mentioning Trump or Adolf Hitler! Only two paragraphs and you would have been there! Other than that a fine example of reasoned argument 😂

  14. #39

    Re: Runcorn by election.

    Quote Originally Posted by Taunton Blue Genie View Post
    He's seems more European than most in his choice of partners. He parted from his wife and subsequently co-habited with his present squeeze, a French politician by the name of Ferrari.
    She's playing fast and loose with our dear Nige

  15. #40

    Re: Runcorn by election.

    Quote Originally Posted by stevo View Post
    Ah, but have their voters actually read it?
    I'm not sure most of their voters are capable of reading it.

  16. #41

    Re: Runcorn by election.

    Quote Originally Posted by Rjk View Post
    We shouldn't be surprised about the rise of a right wing party here, as they seem to have been on the increase across many countries.

    I suppose looking from the outside it's tempting to think that these are the same shysters who told us that Brexit would be a brilliant idea, whereas it has mostly been a shitshow while a lot of these people have managed to line their own pockets from it - why would anyone fall for the same shite twice?

    but the underlying issues that led to brexit are still there. its harder for regular people to make a decent living while the rich get richer - and they don't think that the status quo of labour or tory will ever change this, so its a protest vote.

    I think a reform government would be an absolute disaster for the working man though - low tax and cut backs to public services. Austerity +
    Reform would be Tories on steroids but without even a semblance of administrative nous. These "hard working" tradesmen types who are attracted to Farage like flies to shit will be seriously disappointed or worse if Nige's mob ever blustered their way into power.

  17. #42

    Re: Runcorn by election.

    Quote Originally Posted by Elwood Blues View Post
    But how many of those Tories were Labour until 2019 and would with a popular government have returned to them?
    About an hour ago the seat changes were Reform +480, Libs +54?, Greens +? Labour -124, Tories -377! Given that the incumbent government always gets a hammering in these protest votes, I'd say the situation is far more serious for the Tories. The Libs and Greens would have picked up Labour votes in the main but some have understandably drifted to Reform. But the Tories would have lost the bulk of their 377 seats to Reform, with maybe a couple going to the Libs. Starmer's government rightly took a bloody nosey from it's core vote but the Tories' loss is existential. They have lost all relevance.

  18. #43

    Re: Runcorn by election.

    Quote Originally Posted by Dorcus View Post
    Reform would be Tories on steroids but without even a semblance of administrative nous. These "hard working" tradesmen types who are attracted to Farage like flies to shit will be seriously disappointed or worse if Nige's mob ever blustered their way into power.
    Sounds like they are seriously disappointed as it is though.

  19. #44

    Re: Runcorn by election.

    Quote Originally Posted by JamesWales View Post
    Sounds like they are seriously disappointed as it is though.
    Quite so and they should be. This may prove the end of two party politics as we knew it. I also think in any future elections tactical voting might work against Nige. Lots of One Nation Tories will want to scupper them. The political roadmap has never been quite so blurred.

  20. #45

    Re: Runcorn by election.

    Quote Originally Posted by JamesWales View Post
    Hull and East Yorkshire Mayor..

    Reform: 48,491
    LibDems: 37,510
    Tories: 21,393
    Labour: 18,568
    Green: 5,049
    Yorkshire Party: 4,372

    Things have definitely changed. Not just today, it's been changing for years but accelerated today. It used to be people would turn to the Lib Dems as protest but there are now other viable options that don't count as wasted votes.
    For Farage in the 20s, read Mosley in the 30s, the motivation behind their parties is as old as the hills. In times of economic turmoil, populist grifters come to the fore offering all things to all men, and women.

  21. #46

    Re: Runcorn by election.

    Quote Originally Posted by the other bob wilson View Post
    For Farage in the 20s, read Mosley in the 30s, the motivation behind their parties is as old as the hills. In times of economic turmoil, populist grifters come to the fore offering all things to all men, and women.
    Earlier on today you admitted you had no idea what their policies were, now a few hours later you are confidently comparing them to the National Union of Fascists from nearly 100 years ago

    Give it a bloody rest. Just accept that people are frustrated and want change, the comparison is utterly ridiculous and you have zero evidence to back it up do you?

  22. #47

    Re: Runcorn by election.

    Quote Originally Posted by Dorcus View Post
    Quite so and they should be. This may prove the end of two party politics as we knew it. I also think in any future elections tactical voting might work against Nige. Lots of One Nation Tories will want to scupper them. The political roadmap has never been quite so blurred.
    I agree, very interesting times. Reform now have to exist and deliver in the cut and thrust of service delivery. Have a clear majority on some councils which makes it easier but won't be easy at all and will come across the same problems any other party does

  23. #48

    Re: Runcorn by election.

    Quote Originally Posted by JamesWales View Post
    Earlier on today you admitted you had no idea what their policies were, now a few hours later you are confidently comparing them to the National Union of Fascists from nearly 100 years ago

    Give it a bloody rest. Just accept that people are frustrated and want change, the comparison is utterly ridiculous and you have zero evidence to back it up do you?
    You don’t half go off on one when you see what you think is a comparison between modern politicians and fascism don’t you. I’m comparing Farage and Mosley the people not talking about fascism - even if Farage does have a very dubious past on that score.

    You’re trying to make out that we’re in dramatically changing times, I disagree because so much of what we’re seeing now is like what was happening nearly a century ago - my second sentence in my previous post emphasises what I’m trying to say, we’re not seeing anything new, it’s been around for centuries.

  24. #49

    Re: Runcorn by election.

    Quote Originally Posted by the other bob wilson View Post
    You dont half go off on one when you see what you think is a comparison between modern politicians and fascism dont you. Im comparing Farage and Mosley the people not talking about fascism - even if Farage does have a very dubious past on that score.

    Youre trying to make out that were in dramatically changing times, I disagree because so much of what were seeing now is like what was happening nearly a century ago - my second sentence in my previous post emphasises what Im trying to say, were not seeing anything new, its been around for centuries.
    I don't go off on one, I just think it's a pretty ignorant comment and absolutely stunningly insulting to people. Reform have far more in common with any party from the early 90s more than anything from before that party.

    Of course new parties come along, but you don't need to compare them to leaders of fascist parties. Its just absurd and tiresome and doesn't do the party(ies) you support any favours whatsoever. In fact such comparisons is part of the push factor away from them.

  25. #50

    Re: Runcorn by election.

    Quote Originally Posted by JamesWales View Post
    I don't go off on one, I just think it's a pretty ignorant comment and absolutely stunningly insulting to people. Reform have far more in common with any party from the early 90s more than anything from before that party.

    Of course new parties come along, but you don't need to compare them to leaders of fascist parties. Its just absurd and tiresome and doesn't do the party(ies) you support any favours whatsoever. In fact such comparisons is part of the push factor away from them.
    You do go off on one - have a look at the things youve said to me in your last two posts. Whether Farage is a Fascist or not is something which is up for debate (my view is that the modern version of the man is not), but its far from absurd or tiresome for anyone to ask the question of him because its certainly not a straightforward black and white issue.

    By the way, what party from the early 90s does Reform have so much in common with?

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