First we need Belgium to beat NM.

Having lost to England, it looks like we’re confirmed in pot 2 for the playoffs, as we cannot surpass Sweden or Serbia in the rankings.

As it currently stands we’d will be at home in the playoff semi final to anyone of 10+ teams.

Our playoff final, should we win the semi final would be away to one of Italy, Turkey, Ukraine or Serbia.

Results over the final games could of course shuffle that. Ideally we need both Sweden & Serbia not to finish 2nd, so that we can get back into pot 1.

Second round (play-off): Sixteen teams (twelve group runners-up and four best Nations League group winners, based on the Nations League overall ranking, that finished outside the top two of their qualifying group) will be drawn into four paths, playing two rounds of single-match play-offs (semi-finals with the seeded teams to host, followed by finals, with the home teams to be drawn). The four path winners will qualify for the World Cup.