Re: And a jump from the right
Originally posted by Eric the Half a Bee
View Post
Nothing to disagree with there. Labour didn't really win the election but the Tories lost it. Once again we had an election that was about getting rid of or stopping one lot.
The Reform question needs raising and sorting. I get that, to some, they represent a change from the norm, but we also have to realise that Reform probably split opinions more than the Tories. I know several people who are glad Reform didn't do as well as some were predicting. Plaid are somewhat divisive in Wales and will never get enough support to really challenge as things stand, and I see Reform in the same way. There isn't currently, and I don't believe there ever will be, enough public support for Reform for them to be a major player. Their role is primarily to get the Tories to venture further to the right. Remember the Brexit Party standing aside in the last election rather than split the Tory vote. This time they chose not to and have given the Tories a bloody nose. It's not Labour that have caused that bloody nose, it's been Reform.
The vast majority of Reform voters were disgruntled Tories or previous voters of UKIP and the likes. The Tory/Reform combined vote has gone down while the Greens, Plaid, Lib Dem vote has gone up, so this causes problems for the Tories. The temptation will be to veer more to the right to quell Reform, but in doing so will make themselves less electable, that's a certainty. If they try to make gains in the middle ground, they risk losing voters to Reform.
Liz Truss had a very right wing government with all their leading protagonists in the main positions. It disintegrated within days and the public certainly doesn't have an appetite for those politics.
In Wales, I don't see many Labour voters ditching the party to vote Reform. Like the rest of the UK, Reform votes will come from Tory and former UKIP/Brexit Party voters. I think this needs to be understood. Lib Dem, Green and Plaid voters will not vote Reform. Few Labour voters will, either. I strongly believe that, in Wales, more people will stand up and vote against the Tories and Reform if they pose a threat.
I don't think some realise that Reform are a toxic "party" to many. Whether people want change is one thing, going down that route will never appeal to the majority.
The Reform question needs raising and sorting. I get that, to some, they represent a change from the norm, but we also have to realise that Reform probably split opinions more than the Tories. I know several people who are glad Reform didn't do as well as some were predicting. Plaid are somewhat divisive in Wales and will never get enough support to really challenge as things stand, and I see Reform in the same way. There isn't currently, and I don't believe there ever will be, enough public support for Reform for them to be a major player. Their role is primarily to get the Tories to venture further to the right. Remember the Brexit Party standing aside in the last election rather than split the Tory vote. This time they chose not to and have given the Tories a bloody nose. It's not Labour that have caused that bloody nose, it's been Reform.
The vast majority of Reform voters were disgruntled Tories or previous voters of UKIP and the likes. The Tory/Reform combined vote has gone down while the Greens, Plaid, Lib Dem vote has gone up, so this causes problems for the Tories. The temptation will be to veer more to the right to quell Reform, but in doing so will make themselves less electable, that's a certainty. If they try to make gains in the middle ground, they risk losing voters to Reform.
Liz Truss had a very right wing government with all their leading protagonists in the main positions. It disintegrated within days and the public certainly doesn't have an appetite for those politics.
In Wales, I don't see many Labour voters ditching the party to vote Reform. Like the rest of the UK, Reform votes will come from Tory and former UKIP/Brexit Party voters. I think this needs to be understood. Lib Dem, Green and Plaid voters will not vote Reform. Few Labour voters will, either. I strongly believe that, in Wales, more people will stand up and vote against the Tories and Reform if they pose a threat.
I don't think some realise that Reform are a toxic "party" to many. Whether people want change is one thing, going down that route will never appeal to the majority.

Comment