Plaid Cymru win Caerphilly by-election

[Hilts]

Re: Plaid Cymru win Caerphilly by-election

While I am sure Reform are disappointed in their loss,I am not sure that their vote can really be called a damp squib.

We will know more after next year's Senedd and Local council areas votes.

Successful tactical voting may not be so easy on a wider stage

I agree. Glad they lost. However it would be worrying if 12 people voted for them let alone 12k.

Hopefully over the months and next few years they will continue to cut their own throat with their rhetoric.

[MOZZER2]

Re: Plaid Win Caerphilly By Election

[QUOTE=SLUDGE FACTORY;5619418]

Reform can have that 30 percent vote all day long but they wont be able to rule as they wont find anyone to work with them

Which is fine by me

under the new system from May next year these are the estimated projected results for the Senedd

�������������� Senedd voting intention (+@LeftieStats estimate):

�� LAB 27% (-9), 31 seats
�� REF 24% (+23), 31 seats
�� CON 18% (-7), 17 seats
�� PC 17% (-4), 16 seats
�� LD 6% (+2), 1 seat
�� GRN 6% (+2), 0 seats

Polling via @BeaufortLtd, 4-24 Nov (+/- vs 2021) pic.twitter.com/0ciAbmlc6S

— Stats for Lefties ����️*⚧️ (@LeftieStats) January 8, 2025

[SLUDGE FACTORY]

Re: Plaid Win Caerphilly By Election

[QUOTE=MOZZER2;5619864]

under the new system from May next year these are the estimated projected results for the Senedd

�������������� Senedd voting intention (+@LeftieStats estimate):

�� LAB 27% (-9), 31 seats
�� REF 24% (+23), 31 seats
�� CON 18% (-7), 17 seats
�� PC 17% (-4), 16 seats
�� LD 6% (+2), 1 seat
�� GRN 6% (+2), 0 seats

Polling via @BeaufortLtd, 4-24 Nov (+/- vs 2021) pic.twitter.com/0ciAbmlc6S

— Stats for Lefties ����️*⚧️ (@LeftieStats) January 8, 2025

Thats a year old

[Elwood Blues]

Re: Plaid Win Caerphilly By Election

Probably a topic for the other board, but very interesting.

Reform wheeled out all of their big hitters and were very confident of a win, well done Caerphilly for sending them packing.

A large amount of tactical voting seems to have won the day.

Clearly Reform will still be a force in the elections in May however.

It is now on the right board but there are two threads named the same.

I have put a note asking the mods to merge them to avoid confusion.