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50 Points for Safety

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  • 50 Points for Safety

    Where do people think we will pick up the 14 points estimated as required to ensure safety, from our remaining games?

  • #2
    Re: 50 Points for Safety

    We won't need 50 points to stay up, 45 would probably be enough the way the bottom 3 are playing

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    • #3
      Re: 50 Points for Safety

      Luton, Stoke and Oxford at home plus another at home Wednesday maybe? A few heroic draws would help

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      • #4
        Re: 50 Points for Safety

        Bookies have us finishing one place off relegation. Think it's going to be squeaky bum time till the end of the season.

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        • #5
          Re: 50 Points for Safety

          The highest placed team we’ve beaten in the current table is Watford who are ninth. I think we’ll beat one of the current top eight before the end of the season, but, by the same token, I can’t see us beating all of Luton, Stoke and Oxford at home. I think we’ll. struggle to reach fifty points, but while it looked like you may need that many to survive a month ago, only Plymouth of the bottom three have won since then, so I think a point a game for us from here will probably be enough.

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          • #6
            Re: 50 Points for Safety

            Using Plymouth, currently in the last relegation position, as an example…

            We are currently 6 points ahead of them with a much better goal difference so, unless they pull that back, it effectively means they will have to get 7 more points than us by the end of the season.

            To put that in perspective, if we were to draw every one our remaining games, Plymouth would have to get 19 points to go above us.

            It could happen, but would be a big ask of a team to suddenly pick up an average of 1.5 points a game, when over the season they haven’t even managed an averarge of 1 point per game.

            I am not saying 12 more points will be enough, less might be required, but I feel it is looking a likely safe target to avoid relegation.

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            • #7
              Re: 50 Points for Safety

              Originally posted by xsnaggle View Post
              Where do people think we will pick up the 14 points estimated as required to ensure safety, from our remaining games?
              Apologies for stating the bleedin' obvious but having more points than three other teams is the yardstick rather than a points total based on historical statistics.

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              • #8
                Re: 50 Points for Safety

                IMO we'll stay up with nowhere near 50 points.
                Three teams below us would have to finish the season in near-promotion form to send us down, and that won't happen.

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                • #9
                  Re: 50 Points for Safety

                  Originally posted by xsnaggle View Post
                  Where do people think we will pick up the 14 points estimated as required to ensure safety, from our remaining games?
                  Goals from Robinson, Salech and Davies will get us more than enough points, with assists from Ramsey, Alves, Mannsverk and Robinson, we have a much better team to see out the season.

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                  • #10
                    Re: 50 Points for Safety

                    Originally posted by Taunton Blue Genie View Post
                    Apologies for stating the bleedin' obvious but having more points than three other teams is the yardstick rather than a points total based on historical statistics.
                    Nonsense. We all know football is all about stats.

                    Did you know that we are the joint best team in the league with 100% win record based on the last one game? :ayatollah:

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                    • #11
                      Re: 50 Points for Safety

                      I know we'll need more than 50 points to make the play-offs!

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                      • #12
                        Re: 50 Points for Safety

                        Originally posted by North Cardiff Blue View Post
                        Goals from Robinson, Salech and Davies will get us more than enough points, with assists from Ramsey, Alves, Mannsverk and Robinson, we have a much better team to see out the season.
                        :thumbup:

                        Isn't it amazing what a single win can do for a team.
                        If we'd lost on Tuesday, the MB would be in meltdown and doubts start creeping into everything and everyone.
                        Since the crazy Leeds game, we have looked a pretty decent side given our position in the league but the points gained haven't reflected this.

                        Still some twists to come no doubt but we have more than enough talent to survive the drop.
                        From now on, it's about belief in yourself and your teammates mixed with a bit of hard work.

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                        • #13
                          Re: 50 Points for Safety

                          Originally posted by MacAdder View Post
                          :thumbup:

                          Isn't it amazing what a single win can do for a team.
                          If we'd lost on Tuesday, the MB would be in meltdown and doubts start creeping into everything and everyone.
                          Since the crazy Leeds game, we have looked a pretty decent side given our position in the league but the points gained haven't reflected this.

                          Still some twists to come no doubt but we have more than enough talent to survive the drop.
                          From now on, it's about belief in yourself and your teammates mixed with a bit of hard work.
                          Agreed, and with the two latest acquisitions plus players returning from injury, the squad looks stronger than it has for a very long time. The only thing that is stopping us from playing consistently well is the fear factor.

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                          • #14
                            Re: 50 Points for Safety

                            The bottom 3 are all on less than a point a game. Low 40’s might be enough to stay up at this rate.

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                            • #15
                              Re: 50 Points for Safety

                              Originally posted by Taunton Blue Genie View Post
                              Apologies for stating the bleedin' obvious but having more points than three other teams is the yardstick rather than a points total based on historical statistics.
                              You're right. As long as we achieve no worse than 3 of the following we'll stay up:

                              7 points less than Luton
                              6 points less than Derby
                              5 points less than Plymouth
                              2 points less than Hull
                              Same points as Stoke.

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