Quote Originally Posted by David Vincent View Post
I'm always ready to learn from an expert. What statistics don't I understand?
Luckily for you I am an expert. You’ve taken the murder rates for one year in Cape Town and extrapolated that over 80 years then applied it to Cardiff as if it’s a rate. Not only do you have too small a sample time but you can simply extrapolate it like that. And you’ve ignored the facets that make certain people more likely to be murdered than others. Basically you’re chatting shite.

Also no one has ever been murdered at a Cardiff game so you couldn’t just assign a frequency from a calculated rate

If you had a 1E-03 chance of being murdered at a football match no one would go.