Just to trivialise this thread - I genuinely thought this was about David Blunkett at Westminster tube station when I saw the title.

Seriously, Biden has created a problem for Trump, Putin, Zelenskyy and the rest of us who live on this continent. It is a two fingered sign off from the White House. I doubt it will lead to serious escalation - but some people will now die who would not have died. Putin should not be rewarded, but Ukraine has basked in a massive PR job.

The medium term outcome will be recognition of Russian occupation of Crimea and the Donbass, and Trump will pretend to be a political operator and peacemaker. Trump is a shallow, manipulated fool, Zelenskyy is playing his best ever role as a resistance hero and air brusher of recent history, and Putin remains a proto fascist dictator.