I think only one of these polls can be correct really. There are reasons to vote differently in the senedd or Westminster, but not many reasons really, and when you drill into the figures (Wikipedia pages on future elections are brilliant for this) you see really quite different responses for the sam age groups.

I suspect the second one is more accurate, and I think in due course Labour will do a bit better, but it seems highly unlikely they will go ern with a majority.

Seems that Plaid are starting to get more appeal amongst the young. Leanne Wood was no leader and Rhun ap Iorwerth comes across pretty well (I thought Adam Price was a great leader too mind) so I can see how they can sustain things.

There will almost certainly be a change next year though. I think there is a general appetite for change and a feeling that Labour and Wales need a break from eachother for a little while. It has all the vibes of an unhappy marriage and the electorate have come back from a girls holiday away and realised their husband of 30 years is not the man he was and is actually quite boring.