Senedd election prediction

[Rjk]

Re: Senedd election prediction

Montgomeryshire: Tory hold with increase in vote share of +6.3.

Tories and Reform vote share: 50.3% (of which 48.1% is Tory).
Plaid, Lib Dem and Labour vote share: 49%.

I know it doesn't work like that but here we go again!

Plaid and Labour both increased their vote share, and I don't think anyone was expecting Montgomeryshire to change hands.

[xsnaggle]

Re: Senedd election prediction

Plaid and Labour both increased their vote share, and I don't think anyone was expecting Montgomeryshire to change hands.

Safe seat but I have no idea how things will look if the percentage holds across the board.

[surge]

Re: Senedd election prediction

Plaid and Labour both increased their vote share, and I don't think anyone was expecting Montgomeryshire to change hands.

But in a safe Tory seat only 50.3% of voters went for a party representative of the right.

[xsnaggle]

Re: Senedd election prediction

But in a safe Tory seat only 50.3% of voters went for a party representative of the right.

with the man doubling his majority you have to admit you're clutching at straws there surge. I hope you have lots of straws in that case.

[the other bob wilson]

Re: Senedd election prediction

Just driven into Treorchy listening to Radio Wales where they’re saying it looks like Plaid are going to lose Rhondda and there was a former AM from that party saying that they may not be going to do as well as hoped - one opinion expressed was that Labour general election voters who vote for Plaid in Assembly elections are backing Labour this time to try and keep the Torys out.

[City123]

Re: Senedd election prediction

Just driven into Treorchy listening to Radio Wales where they’re saying it looks like Plaid are going to lose Rhondda and there was a former AM from that party saying that they may not be going to do as well as hoped - one opinion expressed was that Labour general election voters who vote for Plaid in Assembly elections are backing Labour this time to try and keep the Torys out.

It would be a huge shame to lose Leanne Wood

[the other bob wilson]

Re: Senedd election prediction

It would be a huge shame to lose Leanne Wood

Agreed.

[surge]

Re: Senedd election prediction

with the man doubling his majority you have to admit you're clutching at straws there surge. I hope you have lots of straws in that case.

Think you think I'm making a different point (Tories shouldn't have won) to one I was trying to make (look at our bizarre voting system and how it doesn't effectively represent people) but hey-ho.

[cardiff55]

Re: Senedd election prediction

Agreed.

Decent person with the wrong party. But that's what she believes in so good luck to her. I dot hope Labour takes it back though.

[Former Labour leader]

Re: Senedd election prediction

Agreed.

I predicted yesterday Labour would win Rhondda(bit of inside info). Hope you all lumped on it.
Labour candidate is actually well thought of and will not disappoint.

[Rjk]

Re: Senedd election prediction

Tories take Clwyd from Labour in a very tight contest

[cityhammer]

Re: Senedd election prediction

It would be a huge shame to lose Leanne Wood

can she be elected on the regional list? Or was it all or nothing on the constituency poll?

[the other bob wilson]

Re: Senedd election prediction

can she be elected on the regional list? Or was it all or nothing on the constituency poll?

Pretty sure she wasn’t on the regional list.

[City123]

Re: Senedd election prediction

can she be elected on the regional list? Or was it all or nothing on the constituency poll?

She's not on the list

[bigjoe]

Re: Senedd election prediction

He's a cautious, unsexy nerd. We live in a time (have we always?) where a strong leader is usually preferred but perhaps covid is the one occasion where caution and nerdish behaviour is admired.

Cometh the hour cometh the man. Drakeford is the Welsh Winston Churchill.