Just under a year to go until the next Senedd election, the first with the new expanded Senedd and ITV Wales have released a poll (in conjunction with Cardiff Uni & YouGov)

https://www.itv.com/news/wales/2025-...iorwerth-as-fm

Plaid Cymru - 30%

Reform UK - 25%

Labour - 18%

Conservatives - 13%

Liberal Democrats - 7%

Green - 5%

Other - 2%

Using a seat calculator would supposedly result in: Plaid Cymru 36 seats, Reform 28, Labour 20, Conservatives 9, Lib Dems 2 and Greens 1. Plaid short of a majority by 13 seats

For Westminster the results were as follows
Plaid Cymru - 24%

Reform UK - 24%

Labour - 20%

Conservative - 13%

Liberal Democrats - 9%

Green - 7%

Other - 2%

Its one poll but at a guess this is the first time Plaid Cymru have lead both a Senedd & Westminster poll? Its got to be the largest margin they've been ahead of Labour at the very least. Interesting times.