Coronavirus update - NO MORE RESTRICTIONS

[Wales-Bales]

Re: Coronavirus update

Check the guys twitter page. He states that his recommendation has been misinterpreted and is still on coarse for up to 500k. Britain isn't doing a hard lockdown.

Tom Pike from Imperial College has a figure of 5,700, which is similar to what Dr Fauci is mentioning as the difference between SARS and pandemic flu.

[Croesy Blue]

Re: Coronavirus update

https://www.spectator.co.uk/article/The-evidence-on-Covid-19-is-not-as-clear-as-we-think

That's quite a good article, it does talk about how the virus might appear worse than it is.

The only thing it doesn't talk about it the health service becomming over whelmed which I thought was the main concern.

[Wales-Bales]

Re: Coronavirus update

https://www.spectator.co.uk/article/...ar-as-we-think

That's quite a good article, it does talk about how the virus might appear worse than it is.

The only thing it doesn't talk about it the health service becomming over whelmed which I thought was the main concern.

According to Dr Birx at a White House press conference, "In no country to date have we seen an attack rate over One in a Thousand..."

"...The predictions of the models don't match the reality on the ground in either China, South Korea or Italy."

[Croesy Blue]

Re: Coronavirus update

What is an attack rate?

[Wales-Bales]

Re: Coronavirus update

What is an attack rate?

Number of infections.

[Baloo]

Re: Coronavirus update

According to Dr Birx at a White House press conference, "In no country to date have we seen an attack rate over One in a Thousand..."

Is that right? Doesn’t Italy already have over 80000 confirmed cases (JHU) amongst a population of 60m, so 1 in 750? Or am I misunderstanding the point?

[cyril evans awaydays]

Re: Coronavirus update

According to Dr Birx at a White House press conference, "In no country to date have we seen an attack rate over One in a Thousand..."

"...The predictions of the models don't match the reality on the ground in either China, South Korea or Italy."

Italy has a population of just over 60 million and an "attack rate" of just over 80 thousand. I hope her medical skills are better than her maths.

[Baloo]

Re: Coronavirus update

Italy has a population of just over 60 million and an "attack rate" of just over 80 thousand. I hope her medical skills are better than her maths.

Also Switzerland has nearly 12,000 confirmed cases in population of 9m. Spain nearly 58,000 cases in population of 46m. Seems an odd claim to make.

[Wales-Bales]

Re: Coronavirus update

Also Switzerland has nearly 12,000 confirmed cases in population of 9m. Spain nearly 58,000 cases in population of 46m. Seems an odd claim to make.

https://www.c-span.org/video/?c4864096/dr-deborah-birx-modeling

[Eric Cartman]

Re: Coronavirus update

https://www.c-span.org/video/?c48640...-birx-modeling

https://mobile.twitter.com/mlipsitch/status/1243347447537115136

Interesting thread on this.

[Pearcey3]

Re: Coronavirus update

Is that right? Doesn’t Italy already have over 80000 confirmed cases (JHU) amongst a population of 60m, so 1 in 750? Or am I misunderstanding the point?

I bet the figure is also considerably higher than 80,000 too.

[the other bob wilson]

Re: Coronavirus update

Boris Johnson has tested positively for it apparently.

[Croesy Blue]

Re: Coronavirus update

Weird the people who were saying last week we aren't testing everyone so the death rate isn't that bad are now saying the "attack rate" isn't that bad.

Which is it.

Also Boris now has it.

[Croesy Blue]

Re: Coronavirus update

https://mobile.twitter.com/mlipsitch...47447537115136

Interesting thread on this.

Very interesting, makes it seem much less like sure good news really.

If people are really sure it isn't that bad why is the excel now a 4000 bed hospital with 2 morgues and why are the army all using city airport to support it.

[tell it like it is]

Re: Coronavirus update

Excel is being used to alleviate current pressure on other hospitals...

There's a different between short term spikes and longer term issues.