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  • Re: Coronavirus update

    In the interview Costello says 50,000 excess deaths have been caused so far by Johnson’s failure to lock down earlier. The initial plan to pursue herd immunity has been a catastrophe.

    No-one knows what the exact level of population immunity is required to achieve herd immunity. But instead of attempting to eliminate the virus, as New Zealand and others have done and as even Scotland is attempting to do, Johnson continues to pursue policies which are causing unnacceptably high rates of community transmission and deaths.

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    • Re: Coronavirus update

      Originally posted by Delbert View Post
      In the interview Costello says 50,000 excess deaths have been caused so far by Johnson’s failure to lock down earlier. The initial plan to pursue herd immunity has been a catastrophe.

      No-one knows what the exact level of population immunity is required to achieve herd immunity. But instead of attempting to eliminate the virus, as New Zealand and others have done and as even Scotland is attempting to do, Johnson continues to pursue policies which are causing unnacceptably high rates of community transmission and deaths.
      What she did in NZ is admirable but it’s not a long term solution if they want their economy that relies hugely in tourism to continue.
      They have to let people in at some point. I really don’t know what Scotland is up to, How does she think they could be Covid free by September? They building a wall Mexico style to keep the English out are they?

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      • Re: Coronavirus update

        Originally posted by Delbert View Post
        In the interview Costello says 50,000 excess deaths have been caused so far by Johnson’s failure to lock down earlier. The initial plan to pursue herd immunity has been a catastrophe.

        No-one knows what the exact level of population immunity is required to achieve herd immunity. But instead of attempting to eliminate the virus, as New Zealand and others have done and as even Scotland is attempting to do, Johnson continues to pursue policies which are causing unnacceptably high rates of community transmission and deaths.
        He also says Sage got stuff wrong early on, which I find surprising. Herd immunity doesn’t need as much % of population as I thought previous either.

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        • Re: Coronavirus update

          Originally posted by goats View Post
          He also says Sage got stuff wrong early on, which I find surprising. Herd immunity doesn’t need as much % of population as I thought previous either.
          I don't think they know for sure yet what %of the population being infected would give herd immunity

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          • Re: Coronavirus update

            Man who never accepts responsibility or accountability for anything starts washing his hands.

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            • Re: Coronavirus update

              Brazil's Bolsonaro tests positive.

              The president, who has belittled the risks posed by the virus, took the test after developing symptoms.

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              • Re: Coronavirus update

                half way down page two of the forum....seems things are getting back to normal

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                • Re: Coronavirus update



                  somehow we've spent 10 billion on a track and trace system that doesn't work.

                  Ireland have theirs up and running and cost a fraction of that.

                  I wonder where that 10bn is now.

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                  • Re: Coronavirus update

                    Originally posted by Rjk View Post
                    https://newsakmi.com/news/world/uk-n...ce-system/amp/

                    somehow we've spent 10 billion on a track and trace system that doesn't work.

                    Ireland have theirs up and running and cost a fraction of that.

                    I wonder where that 10bn is now.

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                    • Re: Coronavirus update

                      A triumph of dogma over common sense?

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                      • Re: Coronavirus update

                        Originally posted by the other bob wilson View Post
                        A triumph of dogma over common sense?

                        https://www.theguardian.com/world/20...me-sources-say

                        Probably a good decision as we would be last in the queue for distribution as an ex-member state. Also Germany, France and Holland have already committed to purchase 400m doses of the AZ vaccine and this will be folded into the EU numbers.

                        Knowing a bit about the European medicines supply chain and regulatory issues around licensing of new products I reckon we are better doing our own thing

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                        • Re: Coronavirus update

                          Originally posted by lisvaneblue View Post
                          Probably a good decision as we would be last in the queue for distribution as an ex-member state. Also Germany, France and Holland have already committed to purchase 400m doses of the AZ vaccine and this will be folded into the EU numbers.

                          Knowing a bit about the European medicines supply chain and regulatory issues around licensing of new products I reckon we are better doing our own thing
                          Fair enough, I can see that we could be low down the queue so to speak if any vaccine was effective - that's why I added the question mark, as it's hardly a subject I know much about.

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                          • Re: Coronavirus update

                            Originally posted by lisvaneblue View Post
                            Probably a good decision as we would be last in the queue for distribution as an ex-member state. Also Germany, France and Holland have already committed to purchase 400m doses of the AZ vaccine and this will be folded into the EU numbers.

                            Knowing a bit about the European medicines supply chain and regulatory issues around licensing of new products I reckon we are better doing our own thing
                            I know a bit about the regulatory requirements as well, why do you think we are better doing our own thing?
                            if we had different regulatory requirements to the EU then nobody is going to target our market first, they would go for the EU first then look at what they would need to do to launch in the smaller markets afterwards

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                            • Re: Coronavirus update

                              Originally posted by Rjk View Post
                              I know a bit about the regulatory requirements as well, why do you think we are better doing our own thing?
                              if we had different regulatory requirements to the EU then nobody is going to target our market first, they would go for the EU first then look at what they would need to do to launch in the smaller markets afterwards
                              Assuming no deal Brexit we will have different licensing and MHRA will be responsible for approval new medicines and issuing MAs. The UK gov is setting about streamlining the UK approval process so it may be that we give approval for Covid vaccines ahead of the EU. EMA will no longer be in control of UK.

                              Pharma will launch first in markets that give earliest approvals. They will also have a commitment to pre-orders as and when approval is granted. UK is an attractive market as it is a reference point for many countries for approvals and price.

                              Also the manufacture and distribution will be phased, it's not as if they will drop 400m doses off at a warehouse in Germany.

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                              • Re: Coronavirus update

                                Originally posted by lisvaneblue View Post
                                Assuming no deal Brexit we will have different licensing and MHRA will be responsible for approval new medicines and issuing MAs. The UK gov is setting about streamlining the UK approval process so it may be that we give approval for Covid vaccines ahead of the EU. EMA will no longer be in control of UK.

                                Pharma will launch first in markets that give earliest approvals. They will also have a commitment to pre-orders as and when approval is granted. UK is an attractive market as it is a reference point for many countries for approvals and price.

                                Also the manufacture and distribution will be phased, it's not as if they will drop 400m doses off at a warehouse in Germany.
                                that's simply not true, every project I've ever worked on the launch markets have been EU or USA or both. any smaller markets no matter how easy their regulatory approvals always follow on after the biggest markets are launched.
                                next in priority would be Japan, China, Brazil etc.

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