Coronavirus update - NO MORE RESTRICTIONS

[life on mars]

Re: Coronavirus update

Covid in Scotland: Move to 'modified' level zero but face coverings remain , https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-57820417

will we match up

[LeningradCowboy]

Re: Coronavirus update

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-wales-politics-57822824

First Minister Mark Drakeford says that he does not want to make it easier for people to travel abroad amid criticism over the costs of Covid tests.

[surge]

Re: Coronavirus update

18. As restrictions are lifted it will be important for messaging to communicate the continued risks from COVID-19 and effective mitigations, including information on how to minimise within household spread. SAGE advises that continuing to provide near real time local information on prevalence would be helpful. Communication targeted to both individuals and organisations will be important.

14. Delaying step 4 by four weeks from 21st June has allowed many more vaccinations to be administered and moved the end of restrictions to a time point close to the school holidays, when transmission is expected to be lower. Although a further delay to step 4 could have some additional positive impact by allowing more people to be vaccinated, the effect of this would be much smaller than the effect of the current delay and it would push the wave further towards the autumn and winter.

15. The peak of the resurgence will however be much lower if the return to pre-pandemic behaviours is gradual, irrespective of legislative decisions (i.e., any changes happen over several months) than if it is rapid, and if more measures to reduce transmission are maintained (high confidence). If the aim is to prevent the NHS being under pressure the priority should be to avoid a very rapid return to pre-pandemic behaviour which could lead to a peak in hospitalisations similar to (or possibly even higher than) previous peaks. The mechanism by which this gradual change to more mixing is achieved is much less important than the fact it is gradual

SAGE 93 minutes: Coronavirus (COVID-19) response, 7 July 2021

As we move to the next stage of the COVID response, it is essential we change behaviour slowly and steadily.
These papers give some of the data which show why going slowly will reduce the risk to all.

Chris Whitty, July 13th 2021: https://twitter.com/CMO_England/stat...86547196219394

One of the worst thing Wales did was imply that if we accepted the firebreak then as a reward we could act without restrictions afterwards. I think that was a turning point here as English schools going back for one day in January was in England.

[City123]

Re: Coronavirus update

Wales to move to Alert Level 0 on August 7th

[the other bob wilson]

Re: Coronavirus update

Wales to move to Alert Level 0 on August 7th

Alert level 1 isn’t it?

[City123]

Re: Coronavirus update

Alert level 1 isn’t it?

Level 1 July 17th, Level 0 August 7th

BREAKING: #Wales moves fully into Alert Level 1 from the the 17th of July:

🔓 Up to 6 people can meet indoors
🔓 Organised indoor events with 1,000 seated / 200 standing
🔓 Ice rinks can open.

Then from 7th Aug, it move down to Alert Level 0:

🔓 Unlimited people indoors

— Peter Gillibrand (@GillibrandPeter) July 14, 2021

[City123]

Re: Coronavirus update

"Most COVID rules to be lifted in Wales on 7 August"

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-wales-57823021

[the other bob wilson]

Re: Coronavirus update

Level 1 July 17th, Level 0 August 7th

BREAKING: #Wales moves fully into Alert Level 1 from the the 17th of July:

�� Up to 6 people can meet indoors
�� Organised indoor events with 1,000 seated / 200 standing
�� Ice rinks can open.

Then from 7th Aug, it move down to Alert Level 0:

�� Unlimited people indoors

— Peter Gillibrand (@GillibrandPeter) July 14, 2021

Right, so we’re going to be about three weeks behind England then is it?

[BLUETIT]

Re: Coronavirus update

We kick off on the 7th !

So that’s a full stadium is it ?

[goats]

Re: Coronavirus update

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-wales-politics-57822824

First Minister Mark Drakeford says that he does not want to make it easier for people to travel abroad amid criticism over the costs of Covid tests.

Well that’s a shock….people can’t be going abroad and enjoying themselves now

[City123]

Re: Coronavirus update

Right, so we’re going to be about three weeks behind England then is it?

About that. Same/similar plan as Scotland I believe?

[Baloo]

Re: Coronavirus update

Wizz postpones plans for Cardiff Airport base 2 weeks before fights scheduled to start: https://www.breakingtravelnews.com/n...ign=newsletter

[the other bob wilson]

Re: Coronavirus update

Over 50,000 new cases in the U.K. today - Johnson said his Government's decision making would be dictated by data, not dates - pull the other one!

[xsnaggle]

Re: Coronavirus update

Over 50,000 new cases in the U.K. today - Johnson said his Government's decision making would be dictated by data, not dates - pull the other one!

It does sound high but they were saying that case numbers would double every 7 days. They're not doing that so does that mean tings are actually better than their modelling suggested or not?

[surge]

Re: Coronavirus update

I thought the prediction of 100,000 new cases in a day was pessimistic but seems realistic now.

Latest daily hospitalisation admissions for whole of the UK show 717 on 12th of July which is within 1 of the 8th of October 2020; people in hospital as per 15th of July is between 7th-8th of October 2020; and people on ventilators as per 15th of July comparable to 14th of October 2020.

I know we've weakened the link but it feels likely we end up with something as bad as late October/November 2020 (the same as mid-December 2020 but without same peak) which was bad enough for the firebreak to come in for Wales and multiple regions in England to be placed into Tier 3 restrictions.

On more positive side of things Drakeford suggested Wales could get as many as 85% of adults fully vaccinated by 7th of August and with more than 5% receiving their second jab within most recent 9 days, taking us up to 75% as per 15th of July, that suggested milestone seems possible.